Monday, March 30, 2015

The Paleo Diet - A conspiracy theory of food

Last week I tuned into BBC2 for Giles Coren's magnificent documentary Eat to Live Forever. The documentary focused on a number of different diets whose proponents all claim will help to significantly extend your lifespan. These included calorie restriction, fruitarianism and most interestingly of all, the paleo diet. I say interestingly because of all the diets mentioned, paleo was the one I had heard about before. However, like most fad diets and other nutritional pseudoscience I hadn't looked at in great detail. I had just assumed that the paleo diet was another crackpot idea to be tossed on the mountain of such ideas in the world of CAM. Since the programme aired though I have been doing a fair bit of research into the paleo diet and I have to admit I wasn't prepared for what I found. The paleo diet theory isn't just wrong. It's fractally wrong. The wrongness of each component claim is self-similar with the overall wrongness of the theory. It is, in the words of Linus Pauling, not even wrong. It is so profoundly flawed in such a childlike way that I was surprised, shocked even, at how popular it is. There are all sorts of food outlets from fast food and street food to fine dining which cater for paleo diets. How does such an obviously ludicrous idea gain so much traction? Well here's how.

Firstly, let's have a look, in detail, at the reasons why the Paleo diet is so badly flawed.

The Paleo diet for those who are unfamiliar, is a lifestyle diet which advocates a diet low in carbohydrates, high in animal based protein and fat and free from dairy, processed foods, grains, legumes and basically any food less than 10,000 years old. The reason for this, proponents claim, is that our modern anatomy and genetics which responds so poorly to our modern diet is adapted only to eat foods that our ancestors would have eaten in the paleolithic era (i.e. ~2.6 mya - 10kya). Switching to this "caveman" diet will help you to live longer and be healthier. Yeah, right!

OK, so let's outline the critical flaws in the paleo diet.


1. On the Paleolithic Era

The first fly in the ointment is the concept of the paleolithic era as being the formative era in which our biology was adapted. 
The paleolithic era covers a period between 2.5 million years ago and 10,000 years ago. This creates two problems. Firstly, the reason why the paleolithic era is bookended by these two dates is because 2.5 million years ago is the era to which the earliest discovered tools date and 10,000 years ago represents the advent of modern agriculture. This means that the paleolithic era is a period defined by archaeology and not biology. 

As it happens, the date for the beginning of the paleolithic era is now out of date. While the date range for the paleolithic era remains fixed, we now know that human tool usage dates back at least 3.4 million years 

Evidence for stone-tool-assisted consumption of animal tissues before 3.39 million years ago at Dikika, Ethiopia

Which leads us on to our second problem. 
The idea that our diet was shaped in the paleolithic era is clearly ridiculous to anyone who is familiar with human evolution. 2.5 million years ago our ancestors looked something like this:


This is a reconstruction of Australopithecus Afarensis. 2.5 million years ago was a in the midst of the period when the genus Homo arose from A. Afarensis. 

Of course, the lines between the emergence of Homo from Australopithecus aren't exactly clearly defined and there remains some debate in the literature as to whether H. Habilis, the first species to emerge from the Homo genus should actually be classed as Homo or Australopithecus.

In any case, we went from Australopithecus above through to Homo Habilis:


and Homo Erectus



and Homo Heidelbergensis


and finally Homo Sapiens. 

As we can see from the forensic reconstructions above, the genus Homo changed massively during the Palaeolithic era and the idea that our diet was settled on during this period is ludicrous. There are a number of reasons for this. 
Firstly, our genome is significant to a considerable amount of change every generation. Our current best estimate for the base mutation rate is 128. This means that, on average, each of us is born with 128 changes from our parents genomes. 

Mutation rates in humans. II. Sporadic mutation-specific rates and rate of detrimental human mutations inferred from hemophilia B.

Secondly, there is the fact that we still have very little understanding of certain aspects of our own evolution. There are still topics which are hotly debated such as whether humans evolved simultaneously in different regions or whether we spread out from Africa. 

Recent African origin of modern humans

Multiregional origin of modern humans

There are still gaps in our knowledge regarding key factors in the origin of modern humans. As a result, any claim such as that made by paleo diet advocates which suggests definite knowledge where none can possibly exist is wrong.


2. On the speed of human evolution.

Quite possibly the most glaring error in the paleo diet hypothesis is the failure to recognise the actual capability of humans to adapt to their environment. It is suggested by Paleo advocates that our diet should exclude things like dairy because these things were not in our diet 10,000 years ago. Yes, its true that dairy farming is an activity which humans have been practising for less than 10,000 years. But its also demonstrably false to claim that humans haven't adapted to it. One of the most clearcut examples of this is the evolution of lactose tolerance. Since I'm Irish and Irish people are one of the ethnic groups predisposed towards lactose tolerance I've always been quite interested in the science of lactose tolerance.
The ancestral state of humans (i.e. the default genetic condition of humans prior to 10,000 years ago) was one of lactase non-persistence. What this means is that at birth a gene on chromosome 2 gets switched on which causes the body to produce an enzyme, lactase, which gives babies the ability to digest a particular sugar, lactose, present in milk. However, as the child gets older (between 18 months and 2 years) weaning becomes more likely and the production of lactase in the body gradually diminishes. Eventually it stops altogether resulting in lactose intolerance. There are, however, a number of ethnic groups which do not suffer from this affliction: the Irish, Czech and Spanish as well as a number of tribal peoples such as the Tutsi of central Africa, the Fulani of western Africa and the Bedouin, Tuareg and Beja nomadic peoples. This is quite a diverse bunch but the one thing they all have in common is a long history of dairy farming. 


Evolutionary Genetics: Genetics of lactase persistence – fresh lessons in the history of milk drinking



3. On Artificial Selection

One of the things that escapes most people is just how much we have changed the food we eat by growing it. The Paleo diet ignores this fact and crumbles as a result. 
Let's take the banana as an example. If we compare the banana that everyone is used to buying in the supermarket vs. the wild banana as it would have existed 10,000 years ago we can see the difference:


The wild banana on the right is what bananas looked like before the advent of domestication c. 8000 BCE. It is filled with seeds and is inedible.

Another example of this phenomenon is the common garden strawberry. Prior to the mid 1700s the strawberry that most Europeans were familiar with was the Virigina strawberry:


Then in the 1750s, the Virginia strawberry was crossed with the recently introduced Chilean white strawberry:


The resulting fruit had the large size of the Chilean strawberry combined with the sweetness of the Virginia strawberry.

Almost all foods we eat today bear no resemblance to those which our ancestors would have eaten prior to 10,000 years ago. Since the dawn of farming we have modified all the foods we eat to be more pleasant to eat, higher yield, more flavour etc. So the idea that restricting yourself to any subset of our modern diet resembles a paleolithic diet is ridiculous.


4. On Paleolithic health outcomes

The final damning flaw in the paleo diet logic is the idea that we should return to the diet of our ancestors so that our health will be better and our lifespan extended. The question is though, what was the health of our ancestors like and how long did they live?

Well, as it turns out, the answer is that our ancestors lived short lives with high infant and adult mortality rates. Many children died before they reached the age of 15 and those who reached adulthood could only expect to live until their early forties.


High adult mortality among Hiwi hunter-gatherers: Implications for human evolution

Older age becomes common late in human evolution

OK, so we didn't live that long in the Paleolithic era but surely those short lives must have been full of health, free from modern processed foods. Again, no. Even in this respect the paleo diet is wrong. Just to take one example, the disease atherosclerosis (the arteries being clogged with fatty deposits) is generally considered to be a modern lifestyle-based disease which our ancestors did not suffer from. Indeed, in "The Paleo Prescription" Boyd Eaton uses the absence of atherosclerosis in modern hunter-gatherer societies to buttress his argument. The reality is, as usual, different. It turns out that in a study of ancient populations, atherosclerosis was quite prevalent, with evidence of this disease at least as far back as 4000 years ago.

Atherosclerosis across 4000 years of human history: the Horus study of four ancient populations.


5. On sloppy research

The final section of this post concerns the research upon which the bible of Paleo dieters, "The Paleo Prescription" by S. Boyd Eaton is based. While this doesn't (in and of itself) condemn the underlying logic of the Paleo diet, it does undermine the conclusions reached by Cordain in his book. 
The core problem is the paucity of research on modern hunter-gatherer societies which is presented as the bedrock of the diet's premise. The book studies modern hunter-gatherer societies so as to examine how their diet fits into their health outcomes. However, only six social groups were included in the book: the !Kung, Inuit, Mbuti, Agta, Hadza and Australian aboriginal peoples. This lack of research further creates problems of its own.
Firstly, the conclusions based on the above data are already suspect. The data on the Kung was the result of just one month's record of their diet. The diet of the Eskimos is already highly restrictive through environment, rather than choice. Even if no other groups were looked at, the conclusions based on the six groups studied should have come with a strongly worded caveat.
Secondly, the book fails to account for the actual variety in modern hunter-gatherer societies:

 (Image credit: Jen Christiansen/Sci-Am)

Given the wide variations in actual dietary patterns among modern hunter-gatherer societies, drawing conclusions about the health benefits of a diet based on a cherry-picked view of them is unfounded and downright irresponsible, scientifically at least.
Finally, the book also fails to account for contrary evidence. In particular the Hiwi people of Venezuela which I have referenced in the section on health outcomes above. The fact that there are modern hunter-gatherer societies which have poor health outcomes, in part as a consequence of their diet serves to further undermine Eaton's conclusions.


Conclusions

The Paleo diet is attractive to a lot of people for a number of reasons. Firstly, it offers the prospect of better health outcomes and longer lives, something which traditional diets (i.e. those focused on weight loss alone) don't. Secondly, it offers a semblance of being scientifically grounded (the evolutionary discordance hypothesis) and rooted in common sense (cutting out processed foods). Finally, it offers something that a lot of conspiracy theories also offer, a patchwork theory crafted from disparate and often demonstrably false ideas which those who advocate it seem to think has gone unnoticed by the general population. 
The Paleo diet does contain some good ideas such as reducing your intake of processed foods and carbohydrates (particularly if like most people you lead a less active life) and increasing your intake of fresh food. However, the Paleo diet as a whole is best done with caution. It can and does lead to weight loss but then so do a lot of diets. However, by restricting or eliminating certain food groups (e.g. dairy) the diet can lead to nutrient deficiencies. On the whole it's best to be avoided.

Monday, March 23, 2015

Marriage Equality 2015 - Dissecting the arguments - Part 3: Marriage & Children

As I have said in a previous post, the Child and Family Relationships Bill is due to go through the Oireachtas in advance of the marriage equality referendum and hopefully this will render any arguments about gay parenting moot. However, given the number of times I've had to defend the idea of gay parenting online in the last few years, I don't have much in the way of optimism that the current bill will change things.

The core of the argument is that a child's best interest is to be with his/her biological parents in a stable, low-conflict marriage. Now while the stable, low-conflict marriage is important, what the extensive body of research has shown over the last 40 years or so is that the sexual orientation of the parents has no detrimental impact on the outcome of children. 

A. Positive research

There are many many studies which show that there is no difference between same-sex and opposite-sex families. 

There are small-scale targeted studies:

Biblarz, T., Stacey, J. (2010). How does the gender of parents matter? Journal of Marriage and Family, 72,3-22.http://www.famigliearcobaleno.org/pu...nts-Matter.pdf


Bos, H. M. W., Gartrell, N. K., van Balen, F., Peyser, H. and Sandfort, T. G. M. (2008), Children in Planned Lesbian Families: A Cross-Cultural Comparison Between the United States and the Netherlands. American Journal of Orthopsychiatry, 78: 211–219http://www.nllfs.org/images/uploads/...ilies-2008.pdf


Henny M. W. Bos, Frank van Balen, Children in planned lesbian families: Stigmatisation, psychological adjustment and protective factors,Culture, Health &Sexuality, Vol. 10, Iss. 3, 2008.http://www.narcis.nl/publication/Rec...:uva.nl:307079


Bos, Henny M. W., Hakvoort, Esther M.,Child adjustment and parenting in planned lesbian families with known and as-yet unknown donors (2007) Journal of Psychosomatic Obstetrics & Gynecology, 28, 121-129http://home.medewerker.uva.nl/e.m.ha...voort_2007.pdf


Henny Bos and Theo G. M. Sandfort, (2010) Children’s Gender Identity in Lesbian and Heterosexual Two-Parent Families, Sex Roles, 62, 114-126http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2807026/


Farr, R. H., & Patterson, C. J. (2009). Transracial adoption among lesbian, gay, and 
heterosexual couples: Who completes transracial adoptions and with what results? Adoption Quarterly, 12, 187–204.http://people.virginia.edu/~cjp/articles/fp09.pdf


Biblarz, Timothy J., Savci, Evren (2010) Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual, and Transgender Families, Journal of Marriage and Family, 72, 480-497http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/1...0.00714.x/full


Bos, H. M. W., van Balen, F., & Van den Boom, D. C. (2007). Childadjustment and parenting in planned lesbian-parent families.American Journal of Orthopsychiatry, 77, 38–48.http://www.meerdangewenst.nl/documenten/AJOP.pdf 


Perrin,E.C.,&AmericanAcademyof Pediatrics,Committee on PsychosocialAspects of Child, Family Health. (2002). Technical report:Coparent or second-parent adoption by same-sex parents. Pediatrics,109, 341–344.http://pediatrics.aappublications.or...6c302e03b8d796 


Vanfraussen, K., Ponjaert-Kristoffersen, I., & Brewaeys, A. (2002).What does it mean for youngsters to grow up in a lesbian familycreated by means of donor insemination? Journal of Reproductiveand Infant Psychology, 20, 237–252.http://psycnet.apa.org/?fa=main.doiL...2002-11380-003


Parenting and Child Development in Adoptive Families: Does Parental Sexual Orientation Matter?Rachel H. Farr, Stephen L. Forssell, Charlotte J. Patterson Applied Developmental Science Vol. 14, Iss. 3, 2010

Then there are longitudinal studies:


US National Longitudinal Lesbian Family Study: Psychological Adjustment of 17-Year-Old Adolescents , Nanette Gartrell and Henny Bos Pediatrics 2010; peds.2009-3153; published ahead of print June 7, 2010
http://pediatrics.aappublications.or....full.pdf+html


Gartrell, Nanette, Bos, Henny, Goldberg, Naomi, (2010) Adolescents of the U.S. National Longitudinal Lesbian Family Study: Sexual Orientation, Sexual Behavior, and Sexual Risk Exposure, Archives of Sexual Behavior.
http://www.familieslg.org/_comun/bib..._Sex_Behav.pdf


Gartrell, N., Deck, A., Rodas, C., Peyser, H., & Banks, A. (2005). The
National Lesbian Family Study: 4. Interviews with the 10-year-old
children. American Journal of Orthopsychiatry, 75, 518–524.
http://www.nllfs.org/images/uploads/...-olds-2005.pdf 

Finally, there are large scale nationally representative studies which also show no difference:

Blackwell DL. Family structure and children’s health in the United States: Findings from the National Health Interview Survey, 2001–2007. National Center for Health Statistics. Vital Health Stat 10(246). 2010.

Nontraditional Families and Childhood Progress Through School; Michael J. Rosenfeld; Demography, Volume 47, Number 3, August 2010, pp. 755-775 


Finally there is another large scale study (actually touted as the largest of its kind yet completed) which is nearing publication. The interim report of the project found that:
"On measures of general health and family cohesion children aged 5 to 17 years with same-sex attracted parents showed a significantly better score when compared to Australian children from all backgrounds and family contexts. For all other health measures there were no statistically significant differences."


The Australian Study of Child Health In Same-Sex Families (ACHESS) - Interim report



In fact, the volume of research in this field has lead to a robust consensus being adopted by almost every major professional body.


Consensus Positions

American Psychological Assocation


Position Statement in Support of Legal Recognition of Same-Sex Civil Marriage
Amicus brief submitted in support of 9th Circuit Court of Appeals challenge to California Prop 8
Lesbian and Gay Parenting Resource Publication


Canadian Psychological Association


Brief presented to the Legislative House of Commons Committee on Bill
C38


American Academy of Pediatrics


Policy statement - Coparent or second-parent adoption by same-sex parents


Australian Psychological Society


Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual and Transgender (LGBT) parented families - A literature review

American Psychoanalytic Association


Position statement on Gay and Lesbian Parenting

American Psychiatric Association


Adoption and co-parenting by same-sex couples

North American Council on Adoptable Children


Gay and Lesbian Adoptions and Foster Care

Royal College of Psychiatrists


Submission to the Church of England's Listening Exercise on Human Sexuality

American Academy of Child & Adolescent Pscyhiatry


Children with lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender parents

American National Association of Social Workers


Amicus brief - California Supreme Court - Case No. S147999

Child Welfare League of America


Position statement on parenting of children by lesbian, gay and bisexual adults

Furthermore, the quality and quantity of the research in this field has affected court decisions on the topic.


Legal Decisions


Third District Court of Appeal, State of Florida, Docket No. 3D08-3044

"As a result, based on the robust nature of the evidence available in the field, this Court is satisfied that the issue is so far beyond dispute that it would be irrational to hold otherwise; the best interests of children are not preserved by prohibiting homosexual adoption."


B. Negative research

Over the last year or two, a small number of "studies" have appeared in the media which have been seized upon by those on the NO side as if a) they were the most robust and conclusive study ever published and b) there were no contrary studies out there. I thought that in the interest of completeness and sheer bloody-mindedness I would list them. Oh, and I also thought it would be nice to show why they're all wrong.


1. The New Family Structures Study (Mark Regnerus)


1.1. Methodological Problems

The first problem is that the Regnerus study contains several serious flaws in its experiment design.

1.1.1. Population sample

The first problem is the sample of individuals chosen to undertake the questionnaire. The study interviewed individuals only between the ages of 18-39 and questions them on their childhood. This means that the author is only looking at a snapshot of time between 1972 and 2011. There are two problems with this. Firstly, it means that the study has no depth. There is no longitudinality which is something that usually makes for the most robust conclusions. The author even makes an acknowledgement of this fact:

"There are several things the NFSS is not. The NFSS is not a longitudinal study, and therefore cannot attempt to broach questions of causation."
Secondly, this snapshot covers an area of massive flux with regard to same-sex parenting. It moves from a time when homosexual parenting was entirely unusual and mostly prohibited to a time when it is becoming an accepted family form and yet seeks to make broad conclusions about the snapshot as a whole.

Also with regard to sample selection, Regnerus opens his study with an attack on previous studies such as the NLLFS (National Longitudinal Lesbian Family Study) for their poor sample selection. However, Regnerus used Knowledge Networks to gather his sample data despite having prior knowledge that a) KN had a limited ability to connect him with people who fell under the criteria of the study and b) there were other companies available who could have supplied more rigorous data.


1.1.2. Classification problems

There are several problems in this section in the design of the experiment.

The first problem is the classification of family form. The survey uses the following categories for analysis:

1.IBF: Lived in intact biological family (with mother and father) from 0 to 18, and parents are still married at present (N = 919).
2.LM: R reported R’s mother had a same-sex romantic (lesbian) relationship with a woman, regardless of any other household transitions (N = 163).
3.GF: R reported R’s father had a same-sex romantic (gay) relationship with a man, regardless of any other household transitions (N= 73).
4.Adopted: R was adopted by one or two strangers at birth or before age 2 (N = 101).
5.Divorced later or had joint custody: R reported living with biological mother and father from birth to age 18, but parents are not married at present (N = 116).
6.Stepfamily: Biological parents were either never married or else divorced, and R’s primary custodial parent was married to someone else before R turned 18 (N = 394).
7.Single parent: Biological parents were either never married or else divorced, and R’s primary custodial parent did not marry (or remarry) before R turned 18 (N = 816).
8.All others: Includes all other family structure/event combinations, such as respondents with a deceased parent (N = 406).

The problem here is that while broken homes are included in both types of same-sex families, they are definitionally excluded from heterosexual couples so that the comparisons made later on are fundamentally flawed.

The second problem with the classification above is that any instance of infidelity with a same-sex partner moves the respondent into either LM or GF regardless of the nature of the infidelity (i.e. one night stand vs. long term relationship).

The final problem with the classification above is that a number of respondents were found to fit into more than one category. To resolve this overlap Regnerus makes arbitrary decisions in order to achieve the results he wants:

"That is, a small minority of respondents might fit more than one group. I have, however, forced their mutual exclusivity here for analytic purposes. For example, a respondent whose mother had a same-sex relationship might also qualify in Group 5 or Group 7, but in this case my analytical interest is in maximizing the sample size of Groups 2 and 3 so the respondent would be placed in Group 2 (LMs). Since Group 3 (GFs) is the smallest and most difficult to locate randomly in the population, its composition trumped that of others, even LMs. (There were 12 cases of respondents who reported both a mother and a father having a same-sex relationship; all are analyzed here as GFs, after ancillary analyses revealed comparable exposure to both their mother and father)."That, btw, is as good an example of bad science as you're ever likely to see.

In classifying the data this way, Regnerus creates a homogeneous IBF category and compares it against LM and GF categories which are made up of a number of different relationship types both stable and unstable. That dog won't hunt Monsignor.


1.1.3. Analytical problems

The first problem in this category is Regnerus' idea of what constitutes a bad outcome for children. In particular Regnerus classifies the "current" receipt of public assistance (i.e. social welfare) as a bad outcome.
The problem with this analysis is that America is currently in the depths of one of the deepest economic crises it has faced, yet Regnerus makes no attempt to analyses the other socio-economic factors that play into this in analysing the data.

The second and bigger problem is that the classification errors made by Regnerus in his experiment design leads him to making the wrong comparison. Children in a family where one or both parents were in a same-sex relationship were found to have similar outcomes to those in divorced, cohabiting and step families and markedly different from intact heterosexual families. This is because he designed the study this way. What he actually ended up doing was comparing stable families against non-stable ones and the conclusions don't offer any new insight into the field which is what research is supposed to do. 
To put it simply he analysed bad data with a badly designed experiment to get bad results and ended up with bad conclusions.
1.2. Ethical problems

Herein lies the truly repugnant aspect of this study. Regnerus made some bad choices in even opting to start this study which not only impacts on his conclusions but on science as a whole. Bad science is in and of itself unethical but Regnerus' actions were even more so.

Firstly, Regnerus in a video interview admitted that his study does not work "to the long-term benefit of science". If ever there was a reason for not doing a study, that is it. 

Secondly, Regnerus accepted a grant of $35000 from the Witherspoon Instiute to produce this study, hoping that Regnerus' reputation as a social scientist (which isn't looking great now) would give it an air of authority. Regnerus admitted that because of the grant he rushed it into publication for use in their 2012 election material.

Finally, Regnerus didn't approach the NIH for funding because in his words:

"I had a feeling when we started this project that it would not survive the politics of, in my opinion, the peer review system at the National Institute of Health"I think that sentence speaks for itself.

As a result of this information coming to light Scott Rose, a freelance writer and novelist wrote this open letter to the University of Texas. Consequently, the university has launched an investigation of Regnerus for scientific misconduct.


2. Loren Marks

The next to enter the rogue's gallery is Loren Marks, author of "Same-sex parenting and children’s outcomes: A closer examination of the American psychological association’s brief on lesbian and gay parenting", the study which took a swipe at the APA's amicus curiae brief in support of LGBT parenting. The study was flawed in multiple ways as I have outlined below.

1. In 2010, Loren Marks was called as an expert witness for the defence in a case challenging the legality of California's Proposition 8. Marks testified that children did best with their biological or genetic parents. Under cross-exmaniation Marks admitted that he had cherry picked data from the studies and he had not in fact read most of the studies which he cited in his report (which he later replicated as the study you linked to).

Two other defense experts (social science researchers from McGill University) also admitted during depositions that:

"equal marriage would increase family stability, improve the lives of children, and that gay men and lesbians have faced a long history of discrimination including violence. They also acknowledge broad scientific and professional consensus in favor of equal marriage."


The deposition transcripts and case report can be found here. Marks' involvement is described thusly:

"
Plaintiffs’ attorneys last week introduced video of the deposition of Loren Marks of Louisiana State University, who had been expected to testify for the defendants that the ideal family structure is for children to be raised by two married “biological” parents, which Marks said meant the genetic parents. Marks admitted that he only read parts of the studies he relied upon in making his conclusion. It was then pointed out that those studies actually defined “biological” parents in a way that included adoptive parents — not just genetic parents. Marks then stated that the word “biological” should be deleted from the report he prepared for this case, and also admitted he considered no research on gay and lesbian parents, effectively revealing his research as fatally flawed."


2. Mark's main point of criticism is the small sample sizes used in the studies cited by the APA. While Marks portrays this as a problem for the conclusions drawn by the studies, this is not the opinion of other researchers in the field. Meezan and Rauch's literature review of same-sex parenting in 2005 points out that same-sex couples represent a small and geographically diverse population and that gathering a large sample size is a methodological problem rather than an analytical one. Rosenfeld also notes this in his census study in 2010, pointing out that all same-sex couples taken together represent just 1.8% of family forms in the United States.


3. Despite publishing his paper seven years after the brief (and nine years after the latest study included in the report) which he criticizes, Marks makes no attempt to incorporate studies outside those cited in the APA brief to show whether or not they support his claims. There have been large sample-size nationally representative studies conducted subsequent to the APA's brief. Two noteworthy examples of these include the 2010 Rosenfeld study mentioned earlier and the US Dept. of Health & Human Services study in 2010.


4. Marks also, as noted above, fails to account for any research conducted in to lesbian and gay parenting which fatally unhinges any valid analysis.


5. Marks makes no acknowledgement of the many other medical and social work bodies which have issued position statements in favour of equal marriage which makes the entire paper rather redundant.


6. Despite reviewing 59 papers cited by the APA in his paper, Marks fails to point out that there are in fact 65 empirical studies specifically related to gay and lesbian parents and their children cited in the report. He makes no acknowledgement of why excludes the remaining six. Furthermore, the report also cites empirical studies related to the general fitness of lesbian women and gay men as parents as well as many literature reivews, meta-analyses, legal reviews and individual case studies in support of its conclusions. All told there are over 130 publications cited in the report over half of which are ignored by Marks.


When we move past the scientifc flaws in the paper, we see that there are also deeper ethical concerns with Marks and his work. First of all, as noted above Marks admitted under oath that he didn't know any same-sex couples. This is not an area of research in which Marks is actively engaged. In fact since 2002, Marks' research efforts have been on a national qualitative study exploring the links between family and religious faith.
Before publishing his study, Marks made a preprint available to the Republican Party committee defending the Defense of Marriage Act. In fact both Marks and Regnerus rushed their research through publication so that it would be available for the 2012 elections. Additionally, Marks, Regnerus and James Wright (editor of the journal where both studies were published) have ties to both the NOM and the Witherspoon Institute and all three are contributors to National Review a conservative political soapbox.  

References:


Press release from American Foundation for Equal Rights

Plaintiff Motion to Exclude the expert report and testimony of Katherine Young, Loren Marks and David Blankenhorn


3. No Basis


The final club in the NO side bag is this publication (can't think of a better word for it) from two researchers Robert Lerner and Althea Nagai. Again we find multiple flaws leading to unsupportable conclusions.

1. Mistakes of fact

The first problem with "No Basis" is that the authors in several places make several basic reporting mistakes displaying some remarkably sloppy fact-checking. This, by the way, is the importance of citing peer-reviewed sources so that we don't have to go through such basic mistakes.

a) Brewaeys et al (1997)

This is a surprising and notable inclusion in the list of studies since it has been mentioned on multiple occasions, even by gay marriage opponents such as Steven Nock as "a well defined analysis that attempted to study entire populations rather than samples of them". It is as rigorous as any study in the field of social science gets.
The first mistake that the authors make is that they report the sample size in Table 6 as 72. However, as you can see from the actual paper:

Donor insemination: child development and family functioning in lesbian mother families

the sample size is 98. Furthermore, Lerner and Nagai criticise Brewaeys for its use of ANOVA as its test metric. However, you can see from reading the paper that multiple statistical tests (including Student's t-test) are used. Furthermore, something that Lerner and Nagai fail to point out is that the study controls for demographic differences in the comparison groups and also corrects for multiple comparisons.


b) Harris and Turner (1986)

Once again the sample size reported by Lerner and Nagai is 27, whereas the actual sample size in the paper is 39.

Gay and Lesbian Parents


c) Chan, Raboy and Patterson (1998)

Psychosocial Adjustment among Children Conceived via Donor Insemination by Lesbian and Heterosexual Mothers

What do you know, another sample size reporting error, this time claiming 77 instead of the 80 used in the paper. Furthermore Lerner and Nagai claim that:

"Chan et al use t-tests extensively. The t-test is a statistical proce- dure that compares the means of two groups to see whether the dif- ference between the two means are likely to be due to chance or statistically significant. "

Well, yes but the authors fail to point out that such t-tests are also supported by multiple regression analysis tests.

Furthermore, Lerner and Nagai, make a bold and rather confusing claim by stating:

"The primary problem in using the Bonferroni correction in these studies, however, is that it introduces a bias in favor of the investiga- tors’ own hypotheses." 

Such a claim makes it plain that Lerner and Nagai are not researchers in any serious scientific field. For those who don't know the Bonferroni correction is a correction for multiple comparisons. Basically, if you compare groups using multiple characteristics, the odds that one group is better than the other by chance alone increases significantly. While the Bonferroni correction is non-conservative when used to affirm the null hypothesis, it is still in line with best practice in the field.


2. Methodological issues


The first issue with the approach taken by Lerner and Nagai is the failure to detail the effect of the flaws they describe. The overall impression that Lerner and Nagai attempt to give to the reader is that the 49 studies included in their document are flawed to the point that the conclusions of these studies are either wrong or unsupported by their results. However, this simply isn't the case. 

Take this paper for example (cited by Lerner and Nagai).

Lesbian mothers who conceived after donor insemination: a follow-up study

This paper does contain a flaw, but is not flawed in the way Lerner and Nagai describe. The issue with the Flaks paper is that while the conclusions hold for the dataset collected, the conclusions are based on a sample size which is too small to be generalised to the entire population. This is a small but important distinction which the authors fail to clarify.


Secondly, there is the illusion of control. For example, when examining the studies for sample size, Lerner and Nagai point out that they excluded one study with good sample size (Riddle et al.) because it lacked a heterosexual control group. However, papers such as Brewaeys and Chan cited above show that a control group may not always be a prerequisite for a solid paper. To explain this further, let's look at babies. Babies at birth are frequently tested using an Apgar score. These scores measure a baby in several categories against well-established norms, birth weight, for example, to determine whether the baby is healthy or not. Similarly, since many of these studies study child outcomes, they can be measured against established psychological norms using standard tests as outlined in the paper by Chan et al.


3. Relevance


This is the single most important reason why Lerner and Nagai's criticisms are not valid. It's not that they were never valid it's that they're not valid anymore. There are several reasons for this.


3a - Best practice.


The primary resource used by Lerner and Nagai in levelling their criticisms is a set of guidelines established by psychometrician Jacob Cohen in 1988. However, in 1999, two years before No Basis, the American Psychological Association issued updated guidelines for conducting psychology research:

Statistical Methods in Psychology Journals: Guidelines and Explanations

These guidelines form the basis of best practice in the field and serve to undermine the criticisms of some of the papers in Lerner and Nagai's work, in particular Brewaeys et al.


3b - Meta analyses

One of the most powerful modern tools in scientific research is a meta-analysis. Unlike a review article where the conclusions and results are cursorily examined, meta-analyses essentially combines the different datasets and reanalyses them as a single dataset to see if the results hold for the larger set. This meta-analysis:

A Meta-Analysis of Developmental Outcomes for Children of Same-Sex and Heterosexual Parents

(published in 2008) uses 19 eligible studies including 16 cited in the Lerner and Nagai document. It finds that:

"In sum, children raised by same-sex and heterosexual parents were found to not differ significantly in terms of their cognitive development, gender role behavior, gender identity, psychological adjustment, or sexual prefer- ences. For the outcome that was significantly different between children of same-sex and heterosexual parents, the finding was in favor of same-sex parents."


3c - Rigorous studies

At this point I should point out that as I have previously stated, this work is badly out-of-date. Although published in 2001, the most recent paper examined dates from 1998. 16 years is a very long time in any field of research but particularly in one with as much political valence and human rights implications as this one.
In any event, since 1998, there have been several studies which not only satisfy the established best practice in the field but the crazy extremes documented by Lerner and Nagai. Examples include:

Psychosocial Adjustment, School Outcomes, and Romantic Relationships of Adolescents With Same-Sex Parents

Children With Lesbian Parents: A Community Study


3d - Large-scale studies

One of the valid criticisms of social science research prior to the millennium was the lack of suitable large-scale studies so that the results which were established on a small-scale basis would hold on a national level. However since 2000, there have been several such studies.

The first of these is the Wainwright study cited above which studied 12,105 adolescents taken from the National Study of Adolescent Health, a government funded program. 

Then of course there are these studies, you know the ones I keep telling you about BB:


All of these studies represent the gold standard of research in this area. They are large scale and nationally representative. And yet they confirm the same findings documented in the other research previously.

Lerner and Nagai's critisms are flawed and obsolete. However, even had they been valid at the time, we do not need to rely on studies of that type to support the hypothesis. At least not any more.


Marriage Equality 2015 - Dissecting the arguments - Part 2 Marriage and the Bible

Given that we still live in a predominantly Catholic country and that the majority of the people who strongly oppose marriage equality do so on religious grounds, dealing with the Biblical arguments against gay marriage seems like a necessary if not entirely relevant step.

As it turns out, there are only a finite number of references to homosexuality in the Bible and even combined, they don't add up to an argument against gay marriage.

Obviously the most oft-quoted passage in the Bible concerning gay marriage is Leviticus 18:22, and by extension Leviticus 20:13. However, two things are already apparent. 
Firstly, Leviticus is a penal code listing offences and their accompanying sentences. The two can't really be divorced from each other. So if you're going to advocate homosexuality as bad on the basis of 18:22, then you should also advocate the punishment in 20:13.

*CAVEAT 1: It could be argued that the heavy-handedness of the punishments outlined in the Pentateuch represent a frontier law outlook necessary in biblical times which need not be maintained today. However, there is a problem with this argument. It is made abundantly clear in both the Old and New Testaments that the whole law should be followed without exception.

"Do not add to what I command you and do not subtract from it, but keep the commands of the LORD your God that I give you."Deuteronomy 4:2

"May my tongue sing of your word, for all your commands are righteous."

Psalms 119:172

"For truly I say to you, until heaven and earth pass away, not the smallest letter or stroke shall pass from the Law until all is accomplished. Whoever then annuls one of the least of these commandments, and teaches others to do the same, shall be called least in the kingdom of heaven; but whoever keeps and teaches them, he shall be called great in the kingdom of heaven."Matthew 5:18-19


"All Scripture is inspired by God and profitable for teaching, for reproof, for correction, for training in righteousness; so that the man of God may be adequate, equipped for every good work."2 Timothy 3:16-17


Secondly, there are other offences and punishments in Leviticus which the overwhelming majority of Christians completely ignore while loudly shouting about 18:22, prohibitions against planting two different crops side by side (19:19), divination (19:26), eating pork (11:7), eating shellfish (11:12), eating blood (17:10), tattoos (19:28). 


Also, while we're on the subject of Leviticus, just how bad exactly can homosexuality be? After all, only two verses in the entire book are devoted to it. Mould is obviously far more dangerous and offensive to God's sensibilities since a whopping 36 verses are devoted to dealing with it.

For the moment we'll move to the New Testament but we'll get back to the OT in a bit.
So what prohibitions are in the NT against homosexuality. Well, unsurprisingly most of the noise against homosexuality comes from Paul. Unsurprising not only because of Paul's significant contribution to the NT in terms of volume but also because of Paul's pretty warped sense of morality.
He outlines his stance in several verses but particularly:

"For this cause God gave them up unto vile affections: for even their women did change the natural use into that which is against nature: And likewise also the men, leaving the natural use of the woman, burned in their lust one toward another; men with men working that which is unseemly, and receiving in themselves that recompence of their error which was meet."
Romans 1:26-27

"But we know that the law is good, if a man use it lawfully; Knowing this, that the law is not made for a righteous man, but for the lawless and disobedient, for the ungodly and for sinners, for unholy and profane, for murderers of fathers and murderers of mothers, for manslayers, For whoremongers, for them that defile themselves with mankind, for menstealers, for liars, for perjured persons, and if there be any other thing that is contrary to sound doctrine; According to the glorious gospel of the blessed God, which was committed to my trust."
1 Timothy 8:11

"Or do you not know that wrongdoers will not inherit the kingdom of God? Do not be deceived: Neither the sexually immoral nor idolaters nor adulterers nor men who have sex with men nor thieves nor the greedy nor drunkards nor slanderers nor swindlers will inherit the kingdom of God."

1 Corinthians 6:9-10



Of course, just like Leviticus above, most people don't put a lot of stock in what Paul has to say about morality. After all, how many Christians really follow Pauline doctrines like:

" A woman should learn in quietness and full submission. I do not permit a woman to teach or to assume authority over a man; she must be quiet."
1 Timothy 2:11-12

"Wives, submit yourselves to your own husbands as you do to the Lord. For the husband is the head of the wife as Christ is the head of the church, his body, of which he is the Savior. Now as the church submits to Christ, so also wives should submit to their husbands in everything."
Ephesians 5:22-24

"Slaves, obey your earthly masters in every respect, not only when they are watching – like those who are strictly people-pleasers – but with a sincere heart, fearing the Lord."
Colossians 3:22

"Women should remain silent in the churches. They are not allowed to speak, but must be in submission, as the law says. If they want to inquire about something, they should ask their own husbands at home; for it is disgraceful for a woman to speak in the church." 
1 Corinthians 14:34-35

*CAVEAT 2: I should point out here that some of the quotes above come from forged writings. In particular Ephesians which is now part of the group known as the Deutero-Pauline epistles and 1 Timothy, part of the pastoral epistles which were actually written between 130-155CE. However, since most Christians still adhere to traditional authorship for these epistles, the overall point stands.

Now, to turn to the one story which is referenced in both the New and Old Testaments as a commentary against homosexuality: the sin of Sodom. Many modern Christians interpret the sin of Sodom as homosexuality. However, this is not explicitly stated in the story. Moreover, we have passages like this:

"Behold, this was the iniquity of thy sister Sodom, pride, fulness of bread, and abundance of idleness was in her and in her daughters, neither did she strengthen the hand of the poor and needy. And they were haughty, and committed abomination before me: therefore I took them away as I saw good."
Ezekiel 16:49-50

and this:

"The owner of the house went outside and said to them, “No, my friends, don’t be so vile. Since this man is my guest, don’t do this outrageous thing. Look, here is my virgin daughter, and his concubine. I will bring them out to you now, and you can use them and do to them whatever you wish. But as for this man, don’t do such an outrageous thing.”
Judges 19:23-24

which show that the authors of the OT meant to describe inhospitality and rudeness to guests as the sin of Sodom and not homosexuality. Indeed the passage from Judges above is a close parallel of Genesis 19.

After all this there doesn't seem to be much of a solid justification for opposing SSM in the bible. But wait there's more. We also have to consider the inherently contradictory nature of the Bible. Take this passage for example:

"And it came to pass, when he had made an end of speaking unto Saul, that the soul of Jonathan was knit with the soul of David, and Jonathan loved him as his own soul. "
1 Samuel 18:1

or this:

"I am distressed for thee, my brother Jonathan: very pleasant hast thou been unto me: thy love to me was wonderful, passing the love of women."
2 Samuel 1:26

The story of David and Johnathan is widely regarded (or at least was by early Jewish oral tradition) as a homosexual relationship, one which seemed to find some degree of acceptance within the society of the time. It is commented in the Mishnah:

“Whenever love depends on some selfish end, when the end passes away, the love passes away; but if it does not depend on some selfish end, it will never pass away. Which love depended on a selfish end? This was the love of Amnon and Tamar. And which did not depend on a selfish end? This was the love of David and Jonathan."

So, is there a solid justification for opposing marriage equality in the bible? Well as I said, no, unless you wish to come across as a hypocrite.